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Later today, the UK’s travel corridor list will be updated which could see more countries removed or added. Countries not included on the travel corridor list require Britons to self-isolate for 14 days on their return to the UK. The announcement is usually made on Twitter by Transport Secretary Grant Shapps.
The new measures are then usually put in place from 4am on Saturday.
CEO of travel consultancy, The PC Agency, Paul Charles has been posting daily updates on his Twitter regarding country’s case rates.
Today, he predicted which countries are likely to be removed from the travel corridor list.
He said: “Thurs update: #Poland highly likely to be added to the quarantine list, as over 20/100k and high test positivity rates.
“#Estonia also possible due to growing infection levels.
“#Sweden #Italy and mainland #Greece should stay off the quarantine list.”
However, it’s not just Mr Charles who predicts that Poland and Estonia could be removed from the travel corridor list.
Travel expert and senior travel editor for The Independent Simon Calder revealed on Twitter that he also thought the two countries could be at risk.
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He said: “Looking at the infection numbers, Poland and Estonia appear likely candidates for ‘no-go’ list later today – even though they have coronavirus rates around one-third of the UK’s.”
One of the main criteria in deciding whether a country should be removed from the UK travel corridor list is their case rate per 100,000 people over a seven-day period.
Currently, there are several countries on the UK’s quarantine exemption list which are recording more than 20 cases per 100,000 people.
However, Poland and Estonia are recording the most worrying surge in figures.
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Poland is recording 26 cases per 100,000 people over seven days.
While Estonia’s cases are slightly lower, they are still high with 25.5 cases per 100,000 people.
Other countries that could be at risk due to their figures being above the UK’s preferred threshold are Greece, Italy and Sweden.
However, Greece and Italy, which are very popular holiday spots with Britons, are only marginally above the UK threshold meaning they could be spared this week.
Greece and Italy are both recording 20.4 over a week-long period, however, Greece’s 14-day figures are higher than Italy’s.
Sweden has 23.1 cases per 100,000 people over a seven-day period meaning the country could swing either way.
Last week, Iceland, Slovakia, Curacao and Denmark were removed from the travel corridor list.
No countries were added to the list last week.
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